Our Staff
Andrea Bogie

Andrea Bogie


Andrea Bogie has extensive experience with research and analysis in child welfare, juvenile delinquency, the adult aging population, and monitoring the academic achievement of at-risk children. Since 2005, Andrea has conducted child welfare risk assessment validation studies in several jurisdictions in the United States, assisted with developing an actuarial risk assessment for adult protective services agencies, led the effort to construct an actuarial delinquency prevention assessment for use in child welfare, and assisted with several juvenile justice risk assessment validations as part of a national research study funded by the Office on Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention.

Andrea has conducted numerous SDM system implementation process evaluations for CPS, APS, and TANF agencies. She has written dozens of data management reports for child welfare agencies in California, New Jersey, Virginia, and New Hampshire. She is also the primary analyst for school monitoring reports for small high schools and charter schools in the City of Milwaukee. Prior to her work here, she provided direct services as an AmeriCorps teacher and mental health case manager. Andrea has an MSW with a concentration in community organization, policy, and advocacy from Syracuse University and a Bachelor of Science in psychology and social welfare from the University of Wisconsin‐Madison.

Recent publications from Andrea Bogie:

Andrea Bogie, Researcher

Have you ever gone to the grocery store and thrown a bunch of random items in your cart without thinking about what you were going to make? When you got home, were your cupboards full but you could not figure out what to make for dinner? Maybe you had what you needed to make a really great breakfast or some delicious snacks, but what you really needed to make was dinner for four.

Erin Wicke Dankert
Andrea Bogie, MSW

The Texas Department of Family and Protective Services (DFPS) partnered with NCCD’s Children’s Research Center (CRC) to implement a Structured Decision Making® (SDM®) risk assessment for child protective services (CPS). This actuarial risk assessment will help DFPS to identify families at highest risk of future child maltreatment to inform decisions related to service provision with the goal of preventing the occurrence of future harm. DFPS decided to adopt a version of the risk assessment originally developed for a child welfare population served by the California Department of Social Services. To test whether that version of the risk assessment will work as intended for DFPS, CRC conducted this preliminary risk fit study. The results of the study showed that the risk assessment will work as intended for the DFPS CPS population. A full risk validation study is recommended within three to five years of implementation.

Andrea Bogie, Researcher, NCCD

As part of my job, I work with data every day. I collect it, match it, aggregate it, and analyze it. The other day, it occurred to me how much I also use data in my everyday life without even thinking about it. I collect data about my work hours, our household budget, my daughter’s eating and sleep schedules, weekly workouts, groceries, etc. Although my personal data files are much smaller than those I use for work and the analysis is much simpler, the purpose of collecting and analyzing both is the same—I want information about what is happening.

Andrea Bogie, MSW
Kristen Johnson, PhD
Dr. Janice Ereth, PhD
Chris Scharenbroch

In an effort to prevent children who are already involved with the Los Angeles County Department of Children and Family Services (LA DCFS) from becoming involved with the Los Angeles County Probation Department, county managers sought to develop a structured, actuarial assessment to help identify which children served by LA DCFS were most likely to become delinquent. The managers intend to provide additional supports to children who are at high risk of future delinquency. For example, the county may provide wraparound services to meet the specific needs of these high risk children, in an effort to prevent them from becoming delinquent. This report describes the longitudinal study conducted to identify the risk factors for delinquency and construct a screening assessment that classifies children with an open child protective services case by the likelihood of future delinquency.

Dennis Wagner, PhD
Kristen Johnson, PhD
Andrea Bogie, MSW
Kathy Park

In 2008, the New Hampshire Department of Health and Human Services Bureau of Elderly and Adult Services (BEAS) and the National Council on Crime and Delinquency (NCCD), with funding provided by the National Institute of Justice (NIJ), collaborated to construct an actuarial risk assessment to classify BEAS clients by their likelihood of elder maltreatment and/or self-neglect in the future. Studies in adult and juvenile corrections and child welfare have demonstrated that active service intervention with high risk clients can reduce criminal recidivism and the recurrence of child maltreatment (Wagner, Hull, & Luttrell, 1995; Eisenberg & Markley, 1987; Baird, Heinz, & Bemus, 1981). The purpose of this research was to examine a large set of individual and referral characteristics, determine their relationship to subsequent elder self-neglect and/or maltreatment, and develop an actuarial risk assessment for BEAS workers to complete at the end of an investigation to inform their case decisions. BEAS and NCCD pursued development of an actuarial risk assessment with the goal of reducing subsequent maltreatment of elderly and vulnerable adults who have been involved in an incident of self-neglect or maltreatment by another person (i.e., abuse, exploitation, or neglect). The actuarial risk assessment described in this report provides BEAS workers with a method to more accurately identify high risk clients and therefore more effectively target service interventions in an effort to protect their most vulnerable clients.

Katherine Park
Kristen Johnson, PhD
Shannon Flasch
Andrea Bogie, MSW

A new NCCD Focus article, "Structuring Decisions in Adult Protective Services," describes the value of structured decision frameworks in the growing field of adult protective services (APS). The article highlights findings on risk factors for future adult maltreatment from research literature as well as NCCD's efforts to develop an actuarial-based risk assessment for APS in partnership with the New Hampshire Bureau of Elderly and Adult Services under a grant from the National Institute of Justice.