NCCD recently released a report describing efforts made with the Los Angeles County Department of Children and Family Services (DCFS) to prevent youth involved in the children welfare system from crossing over into the juvenile justice system by using predictive analytics in the form of a newly designed actuarial screening assessment tool. Representatives from NCCD, DCFS, and CJJR presented “Using Predictive Analytics in Los Angeles County to Prevent Child Welfare Involved Youth from Crossing Over to Juvenile Justice.” During this 90-minute webinar, presenters shared their experience developing this actuarial screening assessment tool and the lessons learned from implementing it in the field. Participants also learned about the potential for other jurisdictions to develop and implement similar predictive analytics to prevent crossover from occurring.
For the final webinar in our series on predictive analytics and child protection, Dr. Jesse Russell discusses what questions organizations considering predictive analytics should be asking--both of themselves and of researchers. Learn more about how predictive analytics operates in the real world and how to best use it to improve outcomes for children and families.
This issue of the newsletter includes: a collaboration between Westat and NCCD; a new webinar on predictive analytics and child protection; CEO Kathy Park represents NCCD around the country; the 2016 Media for a Just Society Awards call for entries opens. *This link opens slowly; please be patient.
Three Examples of Predictive Analytics in Child Protection
This webinar is the second of three in a series on predictive analytics in child protection. The first webinar is available here.
Predictive Analytics and Child Protection: Constraints and Opportunities
The first webinar in our series of three on predictive analytics in child protection.
While the abstract concept of validity makes sense, actual testing for validity can be challenging. Because validity exists on a continuum, with degrees of less and more valid, we think of some tools as being more valid than others. This means that a test to determine which tools are most or least valid can be useful.
Risk assessment instruments must be evaluated against certain criteria to ensure they function appropriately and that decision makers are likely to “get it right.”
Research has demonstrated that structured decisions lead to better outcomes than those based on worker judgment alone.
A disposition matrix brings a greater degree of consistency, reliability, and equity to the assessment and decision-making process.
Risk assessment is a core practice to promote safer communities and more successful youth.
Disposition matrices help guide decisions, allow for more effective practice evaluation, and are powerful tools for helping systems achieve their goals.